Alibaba’s Revenue Growth to Slow in 2024, Analysts Say

Alibaba Stock News

Buyers boosted Alibaba shares on August 4, although BABA stock, which followed the company’s announcement of a cooperation with Chinese EV producer Xpeng, finished far off highs (XPEV). Xpeng is establishing a computer facility where it will develop autonomous car software using Alibaba’s cloud division. Alibaba invested in Xpeng before the news became public.

In recent months, there has been a lot of news coverage around Chinese equities. In response to a Bloomberg story that China is contemplating allowing local governments to issue up to $220 billion in bonds for infrastructure investment, Chinese markets rose on July 7.

On June 17, Alibaba shares increased, but early gains were erased after Reuters reported that Ant Group’s proposal to establish a financial holding company had been approved by China’s central bank.

Chinese regulators put a halt to the $34.5 billion Ant Group IPO in Shanghai and Hong Kong at the beginning of November 2020. Ant Group is Alibaba’s fintech division. The IPO was suspended when Shanghai exchange officials said that the listing will be halted because the firm was unable to meet the requirements owing to changes in the regulatory environment.

In late April, sentiment was also favorable towards the Alibaba stock as well as other Chinese equities like JD.com (JD) and Pinduoduo (PDD). At that time, Bloomberg reported that Beijing and Washington were discussing allowing regulators to visit Chinese companies with U.S. listings in order to perform on-site checks.

Fundamental Analysis of the Alibaba Stock

Alibaba has a more successful track record of expansion than other businesses. Although earnings have decreased for four consecutive quarters and sales growth has slowed, the firm has seen annualized earnings growth of 18% over the past five years.

Despite a downturn in its primary e-commerce sector, the company has nonetheless been able to increase top-line revenue. However, when the corporation released its fiscal Q1 results in early August, revenue dropped 4% to $30.7 billion.

Technical Analysis of the Alibaba Stock

Since the beginning of its most recent slump in July, Alibaba’s relative strength line has been trending downward.

The relative strength line of a stock compares the stock’s daily price performance to that of the S&P 500 on Investors.com’s daily and weekly charts. An RS line with an upward slope indicates that the stock is outperforming the S&P 500. A line that slopes downward indicates that the stock is trailing the S&P 500.

On May 26, Alibaba shares, aided by a solid earnings report, burst out above a trend line. The BABA stock quickly reclaimed its 50-day moving average. For a time, Alibaba was trapped between its 50-day line and 200-day line, but support evaporated.

Alibaba’s Accumulation/Distribution Rating increased to B- as a result of the recent significant volume growth.

Analysts are expecting Alibaba’s revenue growth to slow in 2024, as the Chinese e-commerce giant faces a number of challenges, including a slowing Chinese economy, increased competition from domestic rivals, and regulatory scrutiny.

Alibaba’s revenue grew by 29% in fiscal 2023, which ended on March 31, 2023. However, analysts are expecting revenue growth to slow to 15% in fiscal 2024.

Factors contributing to Alibaba’s slowing revenue growth

There are a number of factors contributing to Alibaba’s slowing revenue growth, including:

Slowing Chinese economy: The Chinese economy is growing at its slowest pace in decades. This is slowing consumer spending, which is hurting Alibaba’s e-commerce business.
Increased competition from domestic rivals: Alibaba is facing increasing competition from domestic rivals such as Pinduoduo and JD.com. These rivals are growing rapidly and are gaining market share from Alibaba.
Regulatory scrutiny: Alibaba is facing increased regulatory scrutiny from the Chinese government. The government has been cracking down on the technology sector, and Alibaba has been one of the hardest-hit companies.
What does this mean for investors?

Investors who are considering investing in Alibaba should carefully consider the slowing revenue growth. The company is facing a number of challenges, and its revenue growth is expected to slow significantly in fiscal 2024.

However, Alibaba remains a strong company with a loyal customer base. The company is also investing heavily in new growth areas, such as cloud computing and international expansion.

Investors who are willing to take on risk may want to consider investing in Alibaba. However, they should be aware of the challenges that the company faces and should carefully monitor the company’s performance.

What does the future hold for Alibaba?

Alibaba’s future prospects will depend on a number of factors, including the pace of China’s economic recovery, the company’s ability to compete with domestic rivals, and the regulatory environment in China.

If China’s economy recovers strongly and Alibaba is able to compete with domestic rivals, the company is well-positioned for long-term growth. However, if China’s economic slowdown continues or if Alibaba is unable to compete with domestic rivals, the company’s growth will likely be constrained.

Overall, Alibaba is a strong company with a bright future. However, the company faces a number of challenges, including slowing revenue growth. Investors who are considering investing in Alibaba should carefully consider the risks involved.

Additional thoughts

Alibaba is a complex company with a number of moving parts. It is difficult to predict how the company will perform in the future. However, it is important for investors to be aware of the challenges that the company faces, such as slowing revenue growth, increased competition, and regulatory scrutiny.

Investors should also carefully monitor Alibaba’s performance in the coming quarters. If the company is able to overcome its challenges and continue to grow, it could be a good investment. However, if the company’s performance falters, it could be a bad investment.

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